I ka makahiki 2022, e loli nui nā kumukūʻai kemika, e hōʻike ana i ʻelua nalu o ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai mai Malaki a Iune a mai ʻAukake a ʻOkakopa.ʻO ka piʻi ʻana a me ka hāʻule ʻana o nā kumukūʻai aila a me ka hoʻonui ʻia ʻana o ke koi i ke gula ʻeiwa kālā he ʻumi mau manawa kiʻekiʻe e lilo i kumu nui o ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai kemika ma 2022.
Ma lalo o ke ʻano o ke kaua ʻo Russia Ukraine ma ka hapa mua o 2022, holo ka aila ʻaila honua i kahi kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe, ke piʻi mau nei ke kumukūʻai holoʻokoʻa o ka nui o ke kemika, a ʻo ka hapa nui o nā huahana kemika i piʻi i kahi kiʻekiʻe i nā makahiki i hala.Wahi a ka Jinlianchuang Chemical Index, mai Ianuali a Kekemapa 2022, ua hoʻopili maikaʻi ʻia ke ʻano o ka ʻoihana kemika me ke ʻano o ka aila ʻaila honua WTI, me ka helu hoʻohui o 0.86;Mai Ianuali a Iune 2022, ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe o ka coefficient correlation ma waena o nā mea ʻelua e like me 0.91.ʻO kēia no ka mea ʻo ka loina o ka piʻi ʻana o ka mākeke kemika kūloko i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki ua hoʻomalu piha ʻia e ka piʻi ʻana o ka aila ʻaila honua.Eia nō naʻe, ʻoiai ua pale ka maʻi maʻi i ka noi a me ka logistic, ua huhū ke kālepa ma hope o ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai.I Iune, me ke kiʻekiʻe o ke kumukūʻai aila luʻu, ua hāʻule nui ke kumukūʻai kemika, a ua pau ka mākeke i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki.
I ka hapa lua o 2022, e hoʻololi ke kumu alakaʻi o ka mākeke ʻoihana kemika mai nā mea maka (ʻaila hinu) i nā kumu.Mai ʻAukake a ʻOkakopa, me ka hilinaʻi ʻana i ke koi o ke kau gula ʻeiwa kālā he ʻumi kiʻekiʻe, ua piʻi hou ka ʻoihana kemika.Eia naʻe, i ka contradiction ma waena o kiʻekiʻe upstream koina a me nawaliwali downstream koi 'aʻole i nui hoʻomaikaʻi, a me ka market kumukuai i kaupalena 'ia me ka hapa mua o ka makahiki, a laila emi koke ma hope o ka uila i loko o ka pā.I ka mahina o Nowemapa Kekemapa, ʻaʻohe ʻano e alakaʻi i ka nui o ka ʻaila ʻaila honua, a ua pau ka mākeke kemika ma lalo o ke alakaʻi ʻana o ka noi nāwaliwali.
Ka Papa Hana o Jinlianchuang Chemical Index 2016-2022

I ka makahiki 2022, e ʻoi aku ka ikaika o nā mea ʻala a me nā mākeke ma lalo o ke kahawai a nāwaliwali i lalo.
Ma keʻano o ke kumukūʻai, ua kokoke ka toluene a me ka xylene i ka hopena o ka mea maka (ʻaila hinu).Ma kekahi ʻaoʻao, ua piʻi nui ka ʻaila maʻemaʻe, a ma kekahi ʻaoʻao, ua alakaʻi ʻia e ka ulu ʻana i waho.I ka makahiki 2022, ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai e lilo i mea kaulana loa ma ke kaulahao ʻoihana, ʻoi aku ma mua o 30%.Eia nō naʻe, ʻo ka BPA a me ka MIBK i ke kaulahao phenol ketone i lalo e maʻalahi i ka makahiki 2022 ma muli o ka nele o ka lako i ka makahiki 2021, a ʻaʻole i manaʻo maikaʻi ke kumukūʻai holoʻokoʻa o nā kaulahao phenol ketone i luna a me lalo. hāʻule ma mua o 30% i 2022;ʻO ka mea nui, ʻo MIBK, ʻo ia ka mea kiʻekiʻe loa o ke kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe o nā kemika ma 2021, e aneane e nalowale kāna ʻāpana ma 2022. ʻAʻole wela ka benzene maʻemaʻe a me nā kaulahao i lalo i ka makahiki 2022. Ke hoʻomau nei ka hoʻolako ʻana i ka aniline, ke kūlana koke o ka ʻāpana a me ka hoʻonui mau ʻana o nā mea hoʻokuʻu aku, hiki ke hoʻohālikelike ke kumukūʻai pili o ka aniline me ka benzene maʻemaʻe.I ka hoʻolaha ʻana o ka hoʻonui nui ʻana i ka hana ʻana o nā styrene downstream, cyclohexanone a me adipic acid, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai, ʻoi aku ka caprolactam ʻo ia wale nō ka benzene maʻemaʻe a me ke kaulahao lalo kahi e hāʻule ai ke kumukūʻai i kēlā me kēia makahiki.

Ma ke ʻano o ka loaʻa kālā, ʻo toluene, xylene a me PX kokoke i ka hopena waiwai e loaʻa i ka piʻi nui loa o ka loaʻa kālā ma 2022, ʻo ia mau mea a pau ma mua o 500 yuan/ton.Eia nō naʻe, ʻo ka BPA i ke kaulahao phenol ketone i lalo e loaʻa i ka hāʻule nui loa o ka waiwai ma 2022, ʻoi aku ma mua o 8000 yuan/ton, i alakaʻi ʻia e ka hoʻonui ʻana o kāna lako ponoʻī a me ka noi ʻilihune a me ka emi ʻana o ka upstream phenol ketone.Ma waena o nā benzene maʻemaʻe a me nā kaulahao lalo, e pau ka aniline i ke kumu kūʻai ma 2022 ma muli o ka paʻakikī o ka loaʻa ʻana o kahi huahana hoʻokahi, me ka ulu nui o ka loaʻa kālā.ʻO nā huahana ʻē aʻe, me ka benzene maʻemaʻe maka, e loaʻa nā waiwai haʻahaʻa i 2022;Ma waena o lākou, ma muli o ka overcapacity, ua lawa ka mākeke o ka caprolactam, ua nāwaliwali ka noi o lalo, ua nui ka emi ʻana o ka mākeke, hoʻomau ka hoʻomau ʻana o nā poho o ka ʻoihana, a ʻo ka emi ʻana o ka waiwai ka nui loa, kokoke i 1500 yuan / ton.

Ma ke ʻano o ka hiki, i ka makahiki 2022, ua komo ka ʻoihana hoʻomaʻemaʻe nui a me ka ʻoihana kemika i ka hopena o ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hiki, akā ʻo ka hoʻonui ʻana o ka PX a me nā huahana e like me ka benzene maʻemaʻe, phenol a me ketone ke holo nei.Ma 2022, koe wale no ka wehe ʻana o 40000 tons aniline mai ka hydrocarbon aromatic a me ke kaulahao lalo, e ulu nā huahana ʻē aʻe.ʻO kēia ke kumu nui o ke kumu kūʻai awelika makahiki o nā mea ʻala a me nā huahana i lalo i ka makahiki 2022 ʻaʻole maikaʻi loa i kēlā me kēia makahiki, ʻoiai ʻo ke kumu kūʻai o nā mea ʻala a me nā huahana i lalo ke alakaʻi ʻia e ka piʻi ʻana o ka aila ʻaila i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki. .