StireneUa hōʻike ka mākeke i ka hapa mua o 2022 i kahi ʻano oscillating piʻi, ʻo ke kumukūʻai maʻamau o ka mākeke styrene ma Jiangsu he 9,710.35 yuan / ton, piʻi 8.99% YoY a piʻi 9.24% YoY.ʻO ke kumu kūʻai haʻahaʻa loa i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki i ʻike ʻia i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka makahiki 8320 yuan / ton, ʻike ʻia ke kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe loa i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o Iune 11470 yuan / ton, kahi amplitude o 37.86%.ʻO ke kumu, ʻo ka hāʻawi ʻana i ka styrene i ka hapa mua o 2022 i hōʻike i ke ʻano o ka piʻi mua ʻana a laila hoʻemi, hōʻike ka noi i ka piʻi lohi o ke ʻano o ka hoʻolako holoʻokoʻa a me ka hoʻolālā koi no ke kūlana holomua.
Hoʻomaka pinepine nā hanana "Black Swan" i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki i kahi kiʻekiʻe hou o kahi kokoke i ʻelua makahiki.

ʻO ke kumu nui o ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai styrene i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki mai ka hiʻohiʻona macro ka hopena o ka hoʻonui kālā o ka honua, ua piʻi ke kikowaena o ka gravity o nā mea kūʻai aku, i hōʻike ʻia i ka styrene ke kākoʻo kumu kūʻai mai ka ʻaoʻao maka (crude). aila), benzene maʻemaʻe i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki, paʻa pū kā lākou waiwai ponoʻī, hoʻomau i ka piʻi;mai ka styrene fundamentals ka mea nui me ka hapa mua o ka styrene hale a me na haole hana i loko o ka centralized mālama manawa, oiai ka unplanned lako hoemi no hoi oi More, ke kumu kūʻai likeʻole ma waena o ka hale a me ka haole kuai hoʻonui styrene exports, akā, no hoi i. hoʻopiha i kahi hapa o ka noi home nāwaliwali ma ke kumukūʻai o ka hopena maikaʻi ʻole.

Mai ka hiʻohiʻona o nā wahi like ʻole o styrene, aia nā ʻāpana hou e hele mai ana ma ke kahawai ma Kina Hema a me Shandong i 2022, akā me nā pani pani ʻole ʻia o nā ʻāpana nui o ka ʻāina, ke hoʻololi nei ka hoʻolako kūloko a me ka hoʻolālā koi i nā pae.Hema Kina a me Jiangsu makeke mai ka ho'ēmi kālā a hiki i ka piʻiʻana, a me Shandong market mai ka maopopo ho'ēmi kālā i Jiangsu market a hiki i ka laha 'ana narrowed.

ʻO ka hapa mua o ka makahiki ke kumu kūʻai "kidnapped" kiʻekiʻe o nā kumukūʻai styrene e hoʻoholo i ke kiʻekiʻe

ʻO Styrene non-integrated mea kanu waiwai i ka hapa mua o 2022 ma -509 yuan / ton, iho 226.30% mai 403 yuan / ton i ka manawa like i ka makahiki i hala;ʻO ka hapa mua o ka pohō kumu, ʻo ka hapa mua o Iune ka loaʻa kālā pōkole i huli maikaʻi.

2022 ma hope o ka Spring Festival i nā kumukūʻai aila honua holoʻokoʻa, e hoʻoikaika ana i ka benzene maʻemaʻe i ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe, i hui pū ʻia me ka hapa mua o ka mākeke benzene maʻemaʻe paʻa, hoʻomau ka emi ʻana o ka waihona benzene maʻemaʻe, paʻa ke kumu kūʻai, benzene maʻemaʻe a me styrene. laha malie narrowed, hookahi narrowed i ka pae o elima a eono haneri, akā, hana styrene producers hoomaka iho la e haule i loko o ka poho puʻe 'ino / shutdown, akā, no hoi ka hapa mua o ka styrene lako 'aʻole e like me ka manao ulu.

ʻOi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka ulu ʻana o ka home ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia e piʻi aʻe ka koi ʻana ma mua o nā mea i manaʻo ʻia

I ka hapa mua o 2022, manaʻo ʻia e hoʻokomo ʻia ka styrene i loko o ka hana i loko o nā hoʻonohonoho nui i hoʻokomo ʻia i loko o ka hana, e like me Iulai, ua hoʻokomo ʻia ʻo China styrene i ka hana 2.88 miliona tons.

Ke hele mai nei nā mea kanu styrene hou ma ke kahawai e like me ka mea i hoʻolālā ʻia, akā ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka ulu ʻana o ka ulu ʻana o ka home ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia, no ka mea ma ka ʻaoʻao hoʻokahi, ua hoʻomaka kekahi mau mea kanu e pani no ka manawa lōʻihi e pili ana i ke kumu o nā poho lōʻihi. styrene;ma kekahi ʻaoʻao, ʻoi aku ka nui o nā pani pani ʻole ʻia o nā mea kanu styrene i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki.ʻO ka hoʻokomo ʻana o Styrene i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki i hōʻole ʻia i kekahi ʻano, me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka hoʻokomo ʻana i ka home, me nā styrene imports ma Ianuali-Mei 2021 ma 730,400 tons a me Ianuali-Mei 2022 ma 522,100 tons, iho 28.51% makahiki-ma- makahiki.

I ka hapa mua o 2022, he lukewarm ka styrene domestic demand performance, mai ka Spring Festival, ua hoʻomaka ka mākeke e nānā i mua e koi i ka hoʻihoʻi hou ʻana, a hiki i Iulai, ʻaʻole i ʻike ka noi terminal i kahi piʻi nui, ʻoi aku hoʻi ma Malaki-ʻApelila ma ka force majeure. , ua hoopauia ka hoihoi hou ana mai, a i ole i ka hope loa, ua nawaliwali ka pono o na lako hale, o ka hooili ana i ka loulou i luna, aole e pi'i ke kumu kuai o lalo, ke pi'i mau nei ka waihona waiwai o ke kumu. ʻO ka hoʻihoʻi hou ʻana i ka noi ʻo ia ka nāwaliwali o ka noi no ka waiwai a me nā mea pono home.Wahi a Zhuo Chuang hōʻike hōʻike, ʻo ka hapa mua o 2022 styrene downstream consumption ma 6.597 miliona tons, he piʻi liʻiliʻi o 2% ma luna o ka manawa like i ka makahiki i hala, ma lalo o 3% i hoʻohālikelike ʻia i ka hapahā o ka makahiki i hala.Ke hoʻomau nei ka hapa mua o ka styrene export performance, ua paʻi ka ʻikepili hoʻokuʻu aku i kahi moʻolelo kiʻekiʻe, 2021 China's styrene exports ma 234,900 tons, kahi hoʻonui o 770.00%.2022 Ianuali-Mei i hoʻokuʻu aku i 342,200 tons, he piʻi o 80.42%.ʻO ke kumu o ka uluʻana o ka hoʻokuʻuʻana ma ka lima hoʻokahi,ʻoi aku ka hoʻolālā a me ka mālamaʻoleʻia o nā hoʻonohonoho o nā'āina'ē, ka ho'ēmiʻana i ka lako, aia kahi koi;ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, i ka inflationary environment, aia kahi ʻokoʻa i ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai ma ka home a ma waho, aia kekahi wahi arbitrage.

ʻO ka hapa ʻelua o ka hoʻolako a me ke koi ʻana a i ʻole nā ​​​​kumukūʻai paʻa a i ʻole nā ​​​​kumukūʻai e manaʻo ʻia e kiʻekiʻe ma mua a ma hope o ka haʻahaʻa

Fundamentals, styrene i ke kolu o ka hapaha ʻaʻohe mea hou i hoʻokomo ʻia, ʻo ka hapahā ʻehā aia ʻo Guangdong Jieyang 800,000 tons / makahiki (ʻOkakopa-Nowemapa), Lianyungang Petrochemical 600,000 tons / makahiki (ʻOkakopa), Zibo Junchen (ma mua ʻo Qi Wanda) 500,000 tons / makahiki (i waena o ʻOkakopa), Zhejiang Petrochemical 600,000 tons / makahiki (hāhā hapaha), Anqing Petrochemical 400,000 tons / makahiki (ka hopena o ka makahiki) he 2.9 miliona tons / makahiki ka mea i hoʻonohonoho ʻia e hana.I ke kolu o ka hapaha, aia no Zhejiang Petrochemical 1.2 miliona tons / makahiki kanu i loko o ʻAukake i hoʻolālā ʻia ka mālama ʻana ma kahi o 40 mau lā;Hoʻolālā ʻo China Shell II e pani i ka catalyst ma ka hopena o Iulai a me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ʻAukake, no laila ua manaʻo ʻia e hoʻonui ʻia ka hoʻolako ʻana o ka styrene i ke kolu o ka hapaha, akā lohi.ʻO ka lalo i ka hapaha ʻekolu aia kahi pūʻulu o nā mea hana i hoʻolālā ʻia e hoʻokomo i ka hana, inā maʻalahi ka hana ʻana, no ka mea he kākoʻo ke koi ʻana o styrene, akā ʻo ka loaʻa ʻana o ka waiwai o lalo o ka ʻoihana i kēia manawa he poho, no ka mea, ua manaʻo ʻia ka lalo o ka mea hou. lawe mai i ka hopena o ka papa hana.ʻO ka holoʻokoʻa, manaʻo ʻia ka hoʻolako ʻana a me ke koi ʻana o ka styrene mai ka paʻa a i ʻole.

Mai ka ʻaoʻao kumu kūʻai, ʻokoʻa loa ka mākeke no nā kumukūʻai aila honua, huikau ka mākeke aila, e hoʻohui ana i ka maopopo ʻole o ka mākeke styrene i ka hapa ʻelua o ka makahiki, inā ʻo ke kikowaena o ka umekaumaha o nā kumukūʻai aila i ke kolu o ka hapaha. ʻaʻole i hāʻule nui, a ʻo ke kolu o ka hapaha maʻemaʻe benzene hoʻolako a me ka koi e hoʻomau ʻia, a laila ʻaʻole i manaʻo nui ka mākeke styrene i ka hapaha kolu, ʻo kekahi mau mea kūʻai aku ma muli o ka hapa lua o nā hopohopo macroeconomic a me ka pessimism e pili ana i ka ʻoihana waiwai.No ka manawa, he ʻano pōkole ka mākeke.I ka hā o ka hapaha, ʻoi aku ka nui o nā kumukūʻai aila honua i lalo, a ʻo ka mea hou benzene maʻemaʻe e manaʻo ʻia e hoʻopaʻa i ka hana, hoʻonui i ka lako, hoʻonāwaliwali ke kākoʻo kumu kūʻai, hui pū ʻia me ka hāhā o ka ʻoihana styrene koi e hoʻonāwaliwali hou ʻia, ke kumu kūʻai. kikowaena o ka umekaumaha a i ʻole i manaʻo ʻia e emi hou.

Puna: China Universe Information
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