ʻO kekahi o nā hōʻailona koʻikoʻi o ka volatility i ka mākeke kemika Kina, ʻo ia ka volatility o ke kumukūʻai, i kekahi manawa e hōʻike ana i ka fluctuations o ka waiwai o nā huahana kemika.Ma kēia pepa, e hoʻohālikelike mākou i nā kumukūʻai o nā kemika nui nui ma Kina i nā makahiki he 15 i hala iho nei a e nānā pōkole i ke ʻano o nā loli i nā kumukūʻai kemika lōʻihi.

ʻO ka mea mua, e nānā i nā hoʻololi i ka pae kumukūʻai holoʻokoʻa.Wahi a ka National Bureau of Statistics, ua hoʻomau ka GDP o Kina e hōʻike i ka ulu maikaʻi ʻana i nā makahiki he 15 i hala, e hōʻike ana i ka fluctuation o ke kumukūʻai a me nā pae inflation ua hōʻike pū ʻia ʻo CPI i kahi ʻano maikaʻi i nā helu waiwai no ka hapa nui o nā makahiki he 15 i hala.

Kiʻi Kiʻi 1 Ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana o GDP a me CPI ka nui o ka ulu ʻana o kēlā me kēia makahiki ma Kina i nā makahiki he 15 i hala.

Wahi a nā hōʻailona waiwai ʻelua no Kina, ua ulu nui ka nui o ka hoʻokele waiwai Kina a me ke kiʻekiʻe o ke kumukūʻai.Ua noiʻi ʻia nā hoʻololi kumukūʻai o 58 mau kemika nui ma Kina i nā makahiki he 15 i hala iho nei a ua hoʻomohala ʻia kahi pakuhi laina laina kumu kūʻai a me kahi pakuhi hoʻololi hoʻololi hui.Hiki ke ʻike ʻia nā hiʻohiʻona fluctuation ma lalo o nā pakuhi.

1. Ma waena o nā 58 mau mea kemika nui i nānā ʻia, ʻo nā kumukūʻai o ka hapa nui o nā huahana i hōʻike i kahi ʻano hoʻololi nāwaliwali i nā makahiki he 15 i hala iho nei, a ua hāʻule nā ​​kumukūʻai 31 kemika i nā makahiki he 15 i hala, ʻo ia ka 53% o ka huina helu helu;Ua hoʻonui ʻia ka nui o nā kinikona nui e 27, ʻo 47%.ʻOiai ke piʻi nei nā kumukūʻai macroeconomic a me nā kumukūʻai holoʻokoʻa, ʻaʻole i hahai a hāʻule paha nā kumukūʻai o ka hapa nui o nā kemika.Nui nā kumu no kēia, ma waho aʻe o ka hoʻemi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai i lawe ʻia mai e ka holomua ʻenehana, aia nō hoʻi ka ulu koʻikoʻi koʻikoʻi, ka hoʻokūkū ikaika, ka mālama ʻana i ke kumukūʻai ma ka hopena kumu (ʻaila hinu, etc.), etc. ʻOkoʻa loa ka loina hana o nā kumukūʻai ola a me nā kumu kūʻai kemika.

2. Ma waena o ka 27 piʻi nui kemika, ʻaʻohe huahana i hoʻonui ʻia nā kumukūʻai ma mua o 5% i nā makahiki he 15 i hala iho nei, a ʻo 8 wale nō nā huahana i hoʻonui ʻia ma mua o 3%, ma waena o nā huahana sulfur a maleic anhydride i hoʻonui i ka nui loa.Eia naʻe, hāʻule nā ​​huahana 10 ma mua o 3%, ʻoi aku ka nui ma mua o nā huahana piʻi.I nā makahiki he 15 i hala iho nei, ʻoi aku ka nāwaliwali o ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai kemika ma mua o ka manawa i lalo, a ʻoi aku ka ikaika o ka lewa nāwaliwali o ka mākeke kemika.

3. ʻOiai ua loli kekahi mau huahana kemika i ka wā lōʻihi, ua hoʻi ka mākeke kemika i ka mea maʻamau mai ka wā ma hope o ka maʻi maʻi ma 2021. I ka loaʻa ʻole o nā kumu hana ʻenehana hikiwawe, ʻike maoli nā kumukūʻai o kēia manawa i ka hoʻolako a me ke kūlana koi. Nā huahana Pākē.

Mai kahi hiʻohiʻona volatility, ʻo ke ʻano volatility holoʻokoʻa o ka mākeke kemika nui o Kina he pilina maikaʻi ʻole me ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai, pili pono i ka imbalance i ka hoʻolako ʻana a me ke ʻano koi o ka mākeke kemika o Kina.Me ka ulu ʻana o ke ʻano o ka pālākiō i ka ʻoihana kemika o Kina i nā makahiki i hala iho nei, ua loli ka pilina hoʻolako-koi ma nā mākeke kemika.I kēia manawa, ke piʻi nei ka hoʻonui ʻole ʻana i ka ʻōnaehana huahana o ka mākeke Kina.

Ma hope o ka wehe ʻana i ka helu inflation, ua hāʻule ka hapa nui o nā kumukūʻai kemika nui o Kina i nā makahiki he 15 i hala iho nei, ʻaʻole i kūlike me ke kuhikuhi o ka fluctuations kumu kūʻai a mākou e ʻike nei.ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai kemika nui o Kina i kēia manawa he hōʻailona ia o nā kumu inflationary ma mua o ka waiwai.ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka inflation a me ka mālama ʻana i nā kumukūʻai nawaliwali o ka mākeke mai nā pōʻai lōʻihi o ka wā i hala e hōʻike nui ana i ka emi ʻana o ka waiwai o nā waiwai nui a me ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i ka paio ma waena o ka lako a me ke koi i ka ʻoihana kemika.Ke hele nei i mua, e hoʻomau ka nui o ka ʻoihana kemika Kina a ke manaʻo ʻia nei nā kumukūʻai o ka mākeke huahana Kina e nāwaliwali a paʻakikī hoʻi no ka pōʻai lōʻihi ma mua o 2025.

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